Sports Outside the Beltway

2007 Yankee Projections

ZiPS have made their 2007 Projections for the 2007 Major League season. Below are my thoughts on their predictions for the New York Yankees:

How is no one projected to slug over .500? That’s an impossibility with this lineup. 4 Yanks slugged over .500 this year.
Abreu – only a .287 batting average with 98 rbi? Those both sound a bit low to me.
Giambi – I know he’s a dead-pull hitter now with bad kness, but a .241 batting average? He should hit at least .250.
Arod, Matsui, Jeter and Cano seem about right.
Melky – I would love those numbers from him. Of course, they’re crediting him with 584 at-bats. That’s highly unklikely as the 4th outfielder. Of course, 2 outfielders went down last year, so you really never know.
Damon – Again, I would definitely take those. Especially the RBI.

Randy – I’d be ecstatic with that year from him. In other words, it’s rather unrealistic.
Mussina, Wang – The ERA projections seem a bit high. I expect they’ll both have ERAs under 3.80.
Proctor – So Colter Bean is supposed to have a lower ERA than ‘Everyday’ Scotty? I don’t think so.
Pettitte, Hughes – Pretty accurate ERA projections in my book. But Hughes won’t get that many innings.
Igawa, Bruney – They should both have better years than this projection. Bruney was dominant this year (.87 ERA in 20.2 innings). It’s tough to say with Igawa, but I predict his ERA will be right around 4.00.

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I’m not a big fan of Think Factory’s predictions. They always seem to be leaning towards the player’s lowest potential.

Posted by Jonathan C. Mitchell | December 22, 2006 | 09:46 am | Permalink

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