Baseball Projections are Out
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| Tuesday, January 16, 2007 |
One of the joys of the baseball offseason is the procession of arcane agate-type minutiae which are gobbled up by various baseball obsessives, inclusing your humble correspondent. The wheeling and dealing, the signings and then when all of that is done, the fearless projections that some computer in a dark smoke filled room has disgorged for our amusement. And amused we are. First was the news Sunday from the Hardball Times
The 2007 Marcels, the simplest yet effective way to predict next year’s performances, are now available on The Hardball Times.
Then today, even more, Baseball Prospectus has released their PECOTA projections. BP’s stuff is subscriber only. You can click through the Marcels to your hearts content. Also with PECOTA, they use a percentile system, and project the middle ground 50th percentile with a high end and a low end. Get your slide rules ready!
We’ll be looking at more teams as the season gets closer. Today let’s examine Boston’s dynamic hitting duo under both the simplest and the most secretive projection systems out there. PECOTA is first in both charts.
David Ortiz |
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 (Stephan Savoia/AP) |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
.289 |
.406 |
.577 |
.291 |
.391 |
.593 |
|
Manny Ramirez |
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 (Brita Meng Outzen/MLB.com) |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
.297 |
.400 |
.567 |
.298 |
.395 |
.578 |
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The heart of that order is a hitting machine. Having two players back to back in your lineup whose OPS are consistently almost 1.000 is a wonderful luxury. Both systems see remarkably similar 2007 seasons for Ortiz and Ramirez, which means as long as the Red Sox can keep Manny happy and hitting, their offense will continue to give opposition pitching fits. Manny is not going anywhere it seems, because the Red Sox cannot get value for him. Expect Sox fans to be suitably smug and insufferable as The Papi and Manny Show steamrolls AL pitching for another slugging summer.
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- How Manny became a Jedi
- Red Sox, J.D. Drew Agree, At Last
- Royals Week in Review – 5/11/07
- Yanks win series as Jeter’s homerun beats Boston
- Royals Week In Review
- A’s Sign Ricky Ledee
- Is Arod ‘clutch’?
- Manny Ramirez suspended fifty games for using banned substance
- Eight is Enough- Edmonton beats Chicago 8-4
- Lydia Ko wins New South Wales Open
- The Comeback I- Pittsburgh Penguins beat NY Islanders 5-0
- Seattle Mariners Outfielder Greg Halman stabbed to death at age 24
- Hee Young Park wins CME Titleholders Championship
- Oklahoma State Women’s Basketball Coach Kurt Budke dead at 50
- Costly mistake- Blackhawks waive Rostislav Olesz
- Manager Tony La Russa announces retirement
- Puck Drop- Florida Panthers start the 2011-12 NHL season
- 13-time PGA Tour winner Dave Hill dead at 74
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