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Sports Outside the Beltway

Saints vs. Colts?

I’m picking Colts vs. Saints after this weekend… not only because that would obviously be an amazingly fun game to watch, but because I really think that’s what is going to happen.

Some great facts I found out this week… The Bears have given up 25.8 points a game since their top defensive lineman Tommie Harris got hurt. Great D? Ha. Remember, the Saints one of the best offenses in the league.  The Saints, meanwhile, haven’t given up more than 17 points to an NFC team since Week 5 except: Twice to Philadelphia (week 6 and last week), winning both 27-24; and 31 to Carolina in Week 17 after they benched all their starters.

When #1 offenses have played #1 defenses in the playoffs, the offense has won 7 of 10 times. Twice, they shut out the team with the great defense. Ooh, more: The Saints are the highest scoring road team in the NFL with 29 points per game. In fact, in their last three road games — against the Falcons, Giants and Cowboys — they averaged 34 points a game and only gave up 12 points per contest.

And, as a final reminder, home-field advantage is non-existent in the conference championships. The road team wins as often as the home team in the NFL. Over the last 10 years, the road team is 10-10 in conference championship games. However, I think the Colts will benefit greatly from playing in the RCA Dome tomorrow, where they have won all 9 times this year. Meanwhile, I think the cold in Chicago will help them from being blown out, as they would if the game were in New Orleans. But it won’t save them from the Saints’ offensive attack.

 
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Comments
 

Quite an offensive attack, at halftime.

Posted by Anderson | January 21, 2007 | 05:12 pm | Permalink
 

Oh well 50%.
When I heard that the Patriots were ahead 21-6 at the half I thought the game was over. I liked that Indy-New Orleans matchup because of the Manning connection.
Oh well. Now I have to think of a storyline for Indy-Chicago.

Posted by soccer dad | January 22, 2007 | 11:23 am | Permalink
 

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