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The Royals Unoffensive Off Season

Since the crickets are chirping on Royals coverage while the Chiefs make their “miracle” run into the NFL playoffs, let’s take a moment to examine what General Manager Dayton Moore has done with the offense this off season.

Given that the team finished near the bottom of the league in runs scored last year, you’d think Moore would be stockpiling bats in the same manner he’s been picking up arms.

However, the only additions so far have been 1B/DH Ross Gload and Catcher Jason LaRue.

Of course, Moore did spruce up the lineup a bit during the season, and a look at the OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging average) month-by-month does show some modest improvement.

    Apr 681
    May 732
    Jun 743
    Jul 760
    Aug 764
    Sep 762

Unfortunately, their best month was barely average.

David Cohen over at The Good Phight has posted a list of the stats for each lineup position on every team and here is how the Royals stacked up in 2006:

    Rank   Pos   AVG   OBP   SLG   OPS
    47      5   .293  .365  .498  .862
    122     3   .280  .355  .425  .779
    126     1   .289  .351  .423  .775
    128     6   .273  .338  .437  .775
    145     2   .290  .342  .416  .758
    152     4   .253  .319  .436  .755
    218     7   .262  .312  .375  .687
    240     9   .258  .309  .346  .655
    251     8   .236  .289  .327  .616

The overall OPS in 2006 was .765. That means that over half of the Royals lineup was worse than league average, and in the case of the #8 spot, barely better than the pitchers hit in the National League.

Ross Gload and Jason LaRue? Really?

Okay, let’s not panic just yet.

Here is a look at some 2007 projections using Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections:

    Name    P    AVG   OBP   SLG   OPS
    Shealy  1b  .288  .349  .479  .828
    Teahen  3b  .277  .349  .461  .810
    Sweeney dh  .275  .338  .470  .808
    DeJesus cf  .287  .355  .431  .786
    Brown   lf  .281  .343  .438  .781
    Sanders rf  .252  .312  .438  .750
    Buck    c   .251  .307  .432  .739
    Grudz   2b  .288  .327  .382  .709
    Berroa  ss  .252  .288  .365  .653
    
    BENCH
    Gload   dh  .302  .350  .467  .817
    German  2b  .290  .359  .386  .745
    LaRue   c   .234  .331  .411  .742
    Gthrght cf  .269  .335  .330  .665
    
    MINORS
    Gordon  3b  .275  .361  .473  .834
    Huber   1b  .272  .337  .456  .793
    Butler  lf  .292  .339  .447  .786

First of all, simply keeping Sweeney healthy and having Mark Teahen not turn into a pumpkin will help the Royals offense tremendously next season.

Hopefully, having Gil Meche make as much money as he does will stave off the pressure that seems to land on Sweeney’s bad back every season.

The jury is still out on Joey Gathwright, but Ryan Shealy looked like a good addition in the second half last year, and Szymborski’s system seems to like Gload’s potential.

However, the biggest reason for Moore’s focus on the pitching staff is that there is real promise coming from the minor leagues.

Alex Gordon, Justin Huber and Billy Butler all project to hit better in the big leagues than almost the entire 2006 lineup.

With all of that potential piling up at triple-A and Emil Brown and Reggie Sanders both on the wrong side of the age curve, I imagine there will be a few more deals before the season is over.

 
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