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| Monday, February 12, 2007 |
It’s chump change, really. Even to the tight-fisted Florida Marlins. The unbreachable chasm is a mere $700,000. But the stepping on dollars to pick up pennies is bound to haunt the fish down the road. Don’t bite the hand that feeds you. Deatils
In front of hundreds of fans and season-ticket holders during the weekend, Marlins President David Samson and General Manager Larry Beinfest made a point to voice their disappointment that Cabrera blew off the team’s pre-season promotional events.
“(Owner) Jeffrey (Loria) and the rest of us are extremely disappointed that he’s not here with every one of his teammates. All the players are here except Miguel,” Samson said Saturday at FanFest at Dolphin Stadium.
Samson made similar remarks from the podium Friday night at a $200-a-plate awards dinner. Beinfest publicly noted Cabrera’s absence from the podium at a Town Hall meeting on Saturday.
Pitcher Reynel Pinto and infielder Alfredo Amezaga also didn’t attend, but they had excused absences because they were completing winter ball activities. Samson said members of the front office were told by Cabrera’s agents that “he was unable to make it for personal reasons.”
“We’re disappointed, that’s the bottom line. Our organization is disappointed that he wasn’t there with his teammates.
[...]
But a source who has spoken with the Cabrera camp said part of the reason he didn’t show up is that he is not happy that the team is taking him to arbitration on Friday over a $700,000 difference.
Cabrera, who made $472,000 last year, wants $7.4 million. The team has offered him $6.7 million.
“If he wins, he’ll be a very rich man and if he loses he’ll be a very rich man. And we’ll all fly back to start spring training,” Samson said.
Samson’s attitude typifies this dispute. To Cabrera, this is about the hassle of arbitration and the confirmation that this team, rather than locking him up with long term security is going to fight their biggest on-field asset over less than five percent of the club’s payroll last year. This kind of attitude leads to resentment, alienation and a departure as soon as is possible for both parties.
Last week, on his Internet radio show, David Pinto speculated that the Marlins and Cabrera were cruising for a showdown. Whether this is due to Cabrera fleeing for more welcoming pastures after the 2009 season, or the Marlins dealing him for young talent before then, the cracks in the foundation of the club’s relationship to their star player began now.
Another player who is wearing out his welcome, may find one of his suitors backing away. While the Astros have not echoed this fan’s sentiment, the potential is there for a club ready to move ahead.
Unfortunately, that arrogance has slithered closer to home. Yep, the new contender for the all-time narcissist crown: Roger Clemens. At least Bonds is somewhat open with his self-importance, but Clemens is more like an extortionist, making middle-of-the-night phone calls to his victim, then not saying anything. Just letting his quarry know that he’s there and in control.
Clemens will be welcome in the Houston clubhouse, but a few more offseasons like the last several will wear out that welcome in short order.
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| Friday, February 2, 2007 |
The Marlins may not be moving after all. Yesterday’s Miami Herald has the developments.
After seven years of last-minute political defeats, the plan to help the Florida Marlins build a new ballpark with the help of state funds got a major boost Wednesday when Gov. Charlie Crist announced he is a fan of using taxpayer money to subsidize sports stadiums.
Crist, a former minor league baseball attorney and one-time college quarterback, said stadiums rev up local economies and benefit communities in other ways.
”I would look favorably upon it,” Crist said at The Associated Press’ annual legislative preview meeting. He did not specifically mention the Marlins, but he indicated he would support state-sponsored stadium financing because it keeps ballclubs operating in Florida.
”It’s not just the players who benefit from that,” the governor said. “People park cars at those facilities and serve hot dogs at those facilities. And it provides a lot of economic opportunities to our state. And it showcases Florida in many ways.”
Governor Crist’s logic is wonderful. It sounds nice and positive about economic opportunities and how it showcases Florida.
It’s also a pack of lies.
When communities use taxpayer dollars to finance the building of new stadiums, the cost is rarely recovered in any meaningful way. Yeah, there are the occasional upticks in hotel occupancy. But the jobs that states brag about creating are often seasonal employment and thanks to economic concepts like the substitution effect and leakage, those economic benefits do not always pan out.
Neil deMause, writing in Baseball Prospectus‘ Baseball Between the Numbers, documents a large part of the argument against subsidized stadium deals. The most damning statistic is this:
[T]he most cited stadium study…was conducted by Robert Baade, an economist at Lake Forest College in Illinois.
[...]
Among the thirty cities with new stadiums or arenas, twenty-seven showed no measurable changes to resident income at all. In the other three, per-capita income appeared to drop as a result of the new sports facility.[emphasis original]
The arguments by now are familiar, but the logic surrounding them has always been fuzzy. Residents typically have a limited budget for entertainment purchases. Going to a ballgame means less nights at the movies or fewer trips to other local attractions. Economists refer to this as the substitution effect. Another inherent problem with stadiums as local economy boosters is that unlike many local entertainment attractions, the revenue generated by a new stadium often does not stay within the community in which the stadium has been built. Players, owners and other personnel may not reside within the city limits and therefore take their earnings home to another city, state or country.
As the public knowledge of taxpayer subsidies on stadiums have soured them on funding the buildings, teams, governments and major league baseball have gotten cuter about hiding and shifting subsidies. Recent provisions among the owners allow them to deduct the cost of building stadiums from the income they have to submit for revenue sharing. This explains why the Yankees and Mets are “self-funding” their new homes. In truth though, thanks to generous promises of free land and property tax shelters by Mayor Bloomberg, they both are getting nearly $400 million each to build their new homes.
With such generous subsidies, the Marlins have no excuse for not paying the good young players they have what they are worth and maintaining a strong baseball tradition in Miami.
MIAMI — The Florida Marlins have remained on the sideline during baseball’s winter spending spree, a tight budget preventing them from addressing roster deficiencies that spoiled their surprising bid for a playoff berth in 2006.
Yet this could be the Marlins’ best offseason ever. The franchise’s long campaign for a new ballpark has gained new momentum in recent weeks, and while funding hurdles remain, officials with the commissioner’s office and local government say an agreement may finally be near.
“We’ve gone further than we’ve ever gone,” Mayor Manny Diaz said. “I’ve always been optimistic that when you have willing parties sitting at the table, you can get a deal done.”
Stadium projects in the last year for the Yankees, Mets, Nationals, Athletics and Twins have left the Marlins as the last team seeking a new home.
The proposed site — the latest in a series considered by the Marlins — is downtown a mile inland from Biscayne Bay near Interstate 95. The ballpark would include a retractable roof, and the cost could be $500 million or more.
Major League Baseball officials helped revive negotiations in recent months by taking a bigger role. Their top offseason priority is a new Marlins ballpark, said Bob DuPuy, baseball’s chief operating officer.
“Everyone is working very hard to get this realized,” DuPuy said. “The hope is that we can get all the planets and sun and moon aligned and get this to fruition.”
Nineteen major league teams have moved into new stadiums since 1989.
“There’s a recognition a ballpark will not only ensure that the Marlins will continue to play in the Miami area for generations to come, but provide all of the community development opportunities that have happened in so many other locations,” DuPuy said.
The Marlins, who declined to comment, have sought public money for a baseball-only home with a roof since their first season in 1993. Founding owner H. Wayne Huizenga and his successor, John Henry, sold the team in frustration after failing to reach a deal.
A year ago, current owner Jeffrey Loria investigated relocation and had a brief courtship with San Antonio. Loria also pared his payroll to the lowest in the majors, and the Marlins finished last in attendance in 2006 despite an exciting young team.
Financing has always been the biggest obstacle to a new stadium in South Florida. Last May, the franchise failed for the fifth time in six years to secure a subsidy from the Florida Legislature, and Diaz said state money must be part of the latest proposal.
New Gov. Charlie Crist said he favors using state money.
“I view it as an economic development issue,” Crist said. “It’s not just the players that benefit from having major league baseball in the community. People who sell hot dogs benefit, people who do parking benefit, and it’s a point of pride for many of our communities.
“I think it’s very important that we embrace Major League Baseball. … And I think there is a role for state government in that regard.”
The proposed ballpark deal would also require approval from the city council and Miami-Dade County supervisors, because the city and county have agreed to help the Marlins pay for the project.
It’s unknown how much state money will be needed, because costs at the downtown site are still being studied. The nine-acre plot, now mostly parking lots, is owned by the city and county.
“There’s going to be a funding gap” that state money would fill, county tax collector Ian Yorty said. “We know that. We’ve always had one. But we’re not going to know what it is until we see what the revised budget figures are.”
More than a year ago, when the Marlins considered a site next to the Orange Bowl, the projected cost was $420 million. A landfill site in suburban Hialeah remains a possibility, but the recent focus has been on downtown.
Local officials want a deal in place before they approach the Legislature for money, Diaz said. This year’s session is scheduled to conclude May 4.
“Everybody wants to see this get done,” Diaz said.
Copyright 2007 by The Associated Press
This is huge for baseball to remain in Miami. If this deal somehow doesn’t get done then I predict that the organization will be moved. Most likely to Portland, which deserves a team. The Marlins have a lot of work to get done though if this deal is to go through. We’ll wait and see what happens but things are looking bright.
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| Friday, January 12, 2007 |
The Florida Marlins are back, baby. And baby is the operative word. Weak, but bear with me. Heading into Spring Training the Marlins have the one of the youngest potential starting rotations in baseball. How young? Born January 12, 1982 Dontrelle Willis celebrates his 25th birthday today. Celebrating with D-Train today is Scott Olson, who turns 23 and may be the second oldest starter in the Marlins regular season rotation.
Josh Johnson and Anibal Sanchez are all but guaranteed spots. Johnson, 12-7 133 stikeouts 3.10 era in 2006, will not turn 23 until Jan 31. A product of the Marlins system, he was drafted by the Marlins in the 4th round of the 2002 draft. After three seasons in the minors he made his debut in September 2005. Johnson made 24 starts and pitched 157 innings in 2006 and was considered a Rookie of the Year candidate for most of the season.
Anibal Sanchez, who’s undeniable highlight of the season was his No Hitter Sept 6th vs. Arizona, started 17 games in 2006. He pitched 114.1 innings, striking out 72 and posting 2.83 era/1.19 WHIp. While the No-No was the highlight – his July 14th start at home to Houston was the start that set the tone for the season. After surrendering 11 earned runs in his two previous starts (vs. Bos and Was), Sanchez rattled off 21 solid innings against the Astros (7 IP 2 hits), Nationals (7 IP 1 hit) and Braves (7 IP 7 hits 1 run) earning 3 straight wins. Anibal turns 23 on February 27th.
The final spot in the rotation is anyone’s for the taking, but it will likely belong to Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco started 22 games for the Marlins in 2006 earning plaudits for solid work and an ability to transition to the starting role from the bullpen. In 140 innings he struck out 99 and walked 41, posting an 11-11 record and a 4.82 era. He may not have had a season like some, and in the Year of the Rookie Pitcher Ricky Nolasco managed to slip under most people’s radar. He just turned 24 in December.
Young hurler Yumeiro Petit is competing for work coming out of the bullpen. Appearing in 15 games last season for the Marlins he struggled. Pitching only 26.1 innings, Petit gave up 46 hits and 28 earned runs. While he did strike out 20, the fantastic potential he showed in the Mets farm system prior to the trade last offseason has not been evident in his short stint in the Majors.
While the Marlins did not make much noise at the end of the season, their record was far better than most expected. With a young core of pitchers already on the 40 man roster, and a solid talent base in the minor leagues, this staff looks to be set for next season and building towards an impressive future. Petit is the youngest of the current bunch. He will not turn 23 until after the 2007 World Series and has many hoping he lives up to early hype and becomes solid starter in 2008.
On the horizon:
Harvey Garcia (22) recorded 21 saves last season for Jupiter; he struckout 83 in 64.2 innings.
Thanks to thebaseballcube.com
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| Saturday, January 6, 2007 |
Hanley Ramirez has strained his left shoulder during a botched slide in a Winter League game. Ramirez, playing for Licey Tigers in the Dominican Republic, is expected to return from this minor injury in time for spring training when the Marlins open camp. According to a variety of reports he has also contacted the Marlins front office about finishing the winter season in the Dominican. As the reigning National League Rookie of the Year, Marlins fans hope he can once again challange divisional rival Jose Reyes as the top SS in the National League.
In his first year with the Marlins organization Ramirez quickly captured the starting spot alongside Miguel Cabrera on the left of the Florida infield. He played 154 games at SS in 2006 and contributed with both his glove and his bat. Acquired with Anibal Sanchez and in the trade that saw Josh Beckett and Mike Lowell head to the Boston Red Sox, Hanley was easily the second most valuable player at his position last year in the National League. While Jose Reyes posted a line of .300/.354/.487 with 64 stolen bases and 19 HR, Hanley was nearly as impressive finishing the year with a line of .292/.353/.480, 17 HR and 51 stolen bases.
At only 23 years old Ramirez has a bright future ahead of him with the Marlins and fans can only hope that a variety of injuries do not lead to a decline in productivity. As reported by Joe Frisaro on mlb.com:
“Ramirez tweaked the same shoulder in mid May [2006], when he swung through a changeup in Atlanta. He sat for a couple days but never went on the diabled list.”
Alhough he missed little time in 2006, and appears to be healthy enough to continue for Licey, the Marlins front office will have to be concerned and hope that the niggling injuries do not evolve into something more dire.
In other news, now-journeyman infielder Aaron Boone has been signed to a one year deal in the vicinity of $1M by Fish GM Larry Beinfest. Where the 9 year vet will play is anyone’s guess, as he has played primarily at 3B for his career, a positon occupied by Miguel Cabrera. Perhaps most famous for hitting a game-winning homerun off of Tim Wakefield to clinch the 2003 ALCS for the Yankees, Boone also made NY headlines for injuring himself playing pick-up basketball shortly after the Marlins clinched their second World Series. As a result of the injuy Boone’s contract was voided, and he signed a new deal with the Indians.
Boone’s best option may be coming off the bench, pinch hitting and providing a righthanded bat. For his career Boone, turning 34 in March, has batted .264/.325/.429. He has hit 115 HR and stolen 105 bases, the bulk of which was done in his six plus seasons in Cincinatti. He has never played the outfield and is unlikely to beat out Cabrera (3B), Ramirez (SS) or Uggla (2B) for a starting role at any of the positions he has played in MLB.
Thanks, as always, to www.baseball-reference.com for fast and easy stats.
For the last two years at my regular blog, I’ve made predictions for the coming year. I thought I would do that here but concentrating on sports only.
Here we go-
1- The Miami Dolphins have a losing season
2- The Florida Marlins have a winning season
3- Tiger Woods wins at least one major on the way to being Player of the Year again.
4- Ernie Els returns to form.
5- Se Ri Pak completes the women’s Grand Slam by taking the Kraft Nabisco
6- Bobby Bowden retires.
7- Roger Clemens retires but this time for good.
8- Charges are totally dropped in the Duke Lacrosse case.
9- Nick Saban leaves the Miami Dolphins to be the head coach at Alabama.
10- The Miami Heat and Florida Panthers both miss the 06-07 season playoffs.
11- Chicago defeats New England in the Super Bowl.
12- Michelle Wie wins an LPGA tournament.
13- Mike Tyson gets arrested.
14- 2007 is Joe Torre’s last season as manager of the Yankees.
15- Bill Cowher quits coaching the Pittsburgh Steelers
16- The Buffalo Sabres win the Stanley Cup
17- Bill Parcells, Marty Schottenheimer and Joe Gibbs all retire or are fired from their present coaching jobs.
18- Bret Favre retires.
19- The Chicago White Sox win the World Series
20- More than half the above predictions are wrong.
We’ll check back at the end of 2007 and see how I did.
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The story just keeps getting worse for the Marlins prospect (if he is still considered that anymore)
Back in May 2003 Jackie MacMullan of the Boston Globe wrote an article about this top talent
“You look at him five years down the line, and you like his chances,” said the scout. “He throws hard, he has a decent curveball, and he’s got good baseball smarts. He looks like a kid you can teach.”
“He is,” said a second scout, “the best prospect from this area in 15 years.”
In the article Theo Epstein seemed to have some concern over talents like Allison
“The history of the draft demonstrates taking a righthanded pitcher out of high school in the first round is a risky venture,” said Red Sox general manager Theo Epstein. “It’s an extremely long road from high school to the minor leagues to the big leagues. There’s a lot of attrition, mostly because of injuries.
“It’s hard to keep pitchers healthy for a long period of time. These young guys have so many adjustments to make, from mechanics, to facing better hitters, to dealing with bigger crowds. Some make it, and some don’t. And, even those that do tend to make it with a team other than the one that drafted them.
And if you read the December 2004 Sports Illustrated Article you will know that Allison’s coach seemed to blinders on about the situation
“I know what they say about high school pitchers getting drafted, but I’ve been around 34 years, and this kid is the exception to the rule,” said Nizwantowski. “He has his wits about him. None of this stuff has gone to his head. He acts like any other kid we’ve got, but when he gets behind the stripes, you can’t believe how focused he is.”
This is a story that I have followed from the time Allison was in high school. While this is a very tragic story, based on what I read this was a kid who seemed to think he was invincible.
His chance and MLB stardom might have passed, but I hope it is not too late for him to turn his life around. I would think there are thousands of high school athletes who fail because of the pressures to succeed at the next level. If Allison can overcome his problems he might have the opportunity to teach young people (not just athletes) how to make the best of their opportunities. IMO that accomplishments would be more rewarding than anything he could have accomplished on the field.
Best of luck Jeff
From AP-
MIAMI – Florida Marlins pitcher Dontrelle Willis was arrested Friday morning on a drunken driving charge along a Miami Beach street lined with nightclubs.
An officer saw the former NL rookie of the year stop his black Bentley in the South Beach neighborhood, get out of the car around 4:30 a.m. and urinate in the street. Miami Beach police spokesman Bobby Hernandez said the officer noticed signs of intoxication as he approached Willis, who failed a field sobriety test.
“He couldn’t keep his balance, he had a strong smell of alcohol,” Hernandez said.
The 24-year-old Willis was arrested and taken to a police station, where he refused a breath test, Hernandez said. He arrived at the Miami-Dade County jail around 6 a.m. and was being held on $1,000 bond, jail spokeswoman Chandra Gavin Dinkins said.
Marlins spokesman P.J. Loyello declined comment. Willis’ agent, Matt Sosnick, did not return a phone message seeking comment.
Willis finished last season 12-12 with a 3.87 ERA in 223 1-3 innings. In 2005, he led the major leagues with 22 wins and finished second in the National League Cy Young Award balloting. Willis was the NL rookie of the year in 2003, the year the Marlins beat the New York Yankees in the World Series.
In 127 starts with the Marlins since being called up from Double-A Carolina early in the 2003 season, Willis is 58-39 with a 3.44 ERA.
Hopefully this is a one time occurence. If not, Dontrelle should get professional help for alcoholism.
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| Saturday, October 21, 2006 |
Dan Wetzel argues that, conventional wisdom to the contrary, Major League Baseball, despite wild disparities in team salary, has far more parity than the National Football League and National Basketball Association do with their salary caps and revenue sharing.
MLB will crown its seventh different World Series champion in seven years, either Detroit or St. Louis joining the Chicago White Sox, Boston Red Sox, Florida Marlins, (then) Anaheim Angels, Arizona Diamondbacks and Yankees as winners this decade. Even more telling, the Tigers are the 11th different team (out of a possible 14) to reach the World Series during that time.
In comparison, the NFL, with its hard salary cap and “any given Sunday” motto, has crowned just five different champions the past seven years and also seen 11 different teams reach the Super Bowl. The NBA, which also boasts the kind of salary cap seemingly everyone claims baseball desperately needs, has seen just four teams win the title in the past seven years. Just eight teams have reached the NBA Finals during that stretch.
Making the MLB numbers even more impressive is the fact that baseball invites just eight of its 30 teams (26.6 percent) to the postseason. The NFL lets in 12 of 32 (37.5 percent) and the NBA goes with 16 of 30 (53.3 percent), which increases the likelihood of upset-driven diversity in the late rounds.
There is little question that big-market teams with big payrolls have an advantage in fielding a championship-caliber club; obviously, the Yankees have a better chance than the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. But baseball is a different kind of game, and stockpiling talent isn’t enough – as the Yankees’ six-year World Series drought has proven.
[...]
Baseball is a game where the highest-paid player, the Yankees’ Alex Rodriguez ($25 million in 2006), can bat .071 against the Tigers. It is a sport where even the best player only gets up every few innings and the top starting pitcher can only go every fourth day, at best. It is basketball where a player can have an effect at both ends of the court on every single play. It is football where a player can impact at least half of the action.
In baseball, you can’t win without a team – a deep, clutch, close-knit, total team. And you just can’t buy that.
From 1991 through 2005, the Atlanta Braves won their division every year (with an asterisk for the strike-shortened 1994 season, when they were trailing the Montreal Expos but MLB awarded the penants to the team that had won the previous year). They had three Hall of Fame candidates, Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine, and John Smoltz in their pitching rotation simultaneoulsy for most of that stretch. Yet, they won only a single World Series. By contrast, the 1992 expansion Florida Marlins never won a single division title, had losing seasons almost every year, and won two championships.
That’s not so much parity, though, but the nature of the game. In football and basketball, the better team almost always wins. In baseball, even the most dominant teams lose a third of their games. That’s because, as Wetzel notes, a single player can have a major impact every game.
By contrast, baseball is mostly about dominating starting pitching. Since a starter generally only pitches every fifth day, the dynamics are very different from one game to the next. The left hand/right hand thing matters a whole lot more with pitching and hitting, too. Hitters go through hot streaks and slumps in a way that quarterbacks and power forwards don’t.
This is a major reason why baseball experts agree that winning a World Series is partly about luck. A single football game is generally a pretty good test of which team is better, barring a freak injury to the quarterback. A best of seven series in basketball is virtually never won by the inferior team. That’s because a Joe Montana or a Michael Jordan aren’t sitting on the bench in the final minutes of a close game. Barring injury to Tom Brady, the New England Patriots would never start the quarterbacking equivalent of Oliver Perez in the AFC Championship game.
A great regular season baseball team is built around steady production on hitting and defense and a deep pitching rotation. In a 162 game grind, with maybe five or six days off a month, we get a pretty good idea who the best teams are in each league. In the playoffs, though, a team can ride two hot starting pitchers to a championship (see the Arizona Diamondbacks).
Regardless, however, “parity” isn’t so much a measure of which teams win the championship but which ones have a chance to compete. The only way the Kansas City Royals will ever go to another World Series under the current system is to either start spending a whole lot more money or have extraordinarily good luck in developing talent. By contrast, the New York Yankees can essentially buy themselves a ticket to the playoffs every year. That they’ve invested too much in aging superstars past their prime isn’t a testament to parity but bad management.
OTB
From the Sun-Sentinel-
MIAMI — Florida Marlins manager Joe Girardi was fired Tuesday, a move that had been expected after his rift with owner Jeffrey Loria boiled over in an on-field confrontation two months ago.
Girardi lost his job even though he’s considered a strong candidate for NL manager of the year. The Marlins had baseball’s youngest team and lowest payroll at $15 million, but Girardi led them to a 78-84 record, and they were in contention for a playoff berth until a late-September fade.
The cost-conscious Marlins wanted Girardi out so badly they were willing to let him go with two years left on a guaranteed three-year contract he signed in October 2005, when he became a manager for the first time. At 41, he was the second-youngest manager in the major leagues after spending 15 years as a big-league catcher.
Atlanta third-base coach Fredi Gonzalez is considered the front-runner to replace Girardi. Gonzalez was runner-up in the Marlins’ search a year ago after Jack McKeon resigned.
Girardi said he was fired during a brief meeting in his office with team president David Samson, general manager Larry Beinfest and assistant general manager Mike Hill. Loria did not attend.
“They came in and said, `We’re going to make a change,”’ Girardi said. He said no reason was given.
“To hash over what happened doesn’t make any sense,” Girardi said.
Marlins officials did not immediately return phone calls seeking comment.
This news was as predictable as it is dismaying. After the 2005 fire sale, the 2006 Marlins 78-84 performance was absolutely incredible. Joe Girardi should be the NL 2006 Manager of the year. One thing is certain, Joe will land another manager’s job. The Chicago Cubs maybe.
One-time Knucklehead winner Jeffrey Loria is certain to get another award from me tomorrow.
Update- The Marlins announced Fredi Gonzalez as their new manager. Also here is my latest knucklehead award for Loria.
Previously- The Manager of the year will get a pink slip?
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