Sports Outside the Beltway

Super Bowl Predictions

At the beginning of the NFL season, I compiled a list of 2006 predictions from experts and from a panel of bloggers.

None of those surveyed hit a home run but some did reasonably well.

  • Nobody picked a Bears-Colts matchup in the Super Bowl.
  • Nobody picked the Bears to appear in, much less win, the Super Bowl.
  • Several of us picked the Colts to win the Super Bowl: “Experts” Pat Kirwan, Gil Brandt, Michael Wilbon and Adam Schefter and bloggers Mark Hasty and myself. Steven Taylor picked the Colts to appear in the Super Bowl and lose to the Dallas Cowboys.

The worst preseason picks:

  • ESPN’s team of experts picked the Carolina Panthers to beat the Miami Dolphins in the Super Bowl. Neither team made the playoffs.
  • The worst blogger prognosticator was Bill Jempty, who had the Cincinnati Bengals beating the New York Giants. Again, neither team made the playoffs. The Panthers failed to make the playoffs and the Giants lost in the Wild Card round.
  • Honorable mention: expert Vic Caruci also picked the Carolina Panthers, who (as I may have mentioned) didn’t make the playoffs, to win the Super Bowl. He did not name their opponent.

It seems that the amateurs are about as good as the experts in predicting the outcome of long NFL seasons.

Trackposted to Perri Nelson’s Website, Is It Just Me?, Right Truth, Big Dog’s Weblog, Shadowscope, Common Folk Using Common Sense, Stuck On Stupid, Thought Alarm, The Amboy Times, Maggie’s Notebook | Conservative Blog, Pursuing Holiness, Sujet- Celebrities, The HILL Chronicles, Right Celebrity, third world county, Woman Honor Thyself, stikNstein… has no mercy, The Uncooperative Blogger ®, Pirate’s Cove, The Right Nation, Renaissance Blogger, The Pink Flamingo, Dumb Ox Daily News, Right Voices, Right Pundits, A Blog For All, The Random Yak, 123 Beta, Maggie’s Notebook, basil’s blog, The Bullwinkle Blog, Cao’s Blog,, Jo’s Cafe, Adam’s Blog, Conservative Cat, Conservative Thoughts, Thought Alarm: And the Truth Shall Set You Free (If It’s Not Supressed), Wake Up America, Diary of the Mad Pigeon, Faultline USA, The Crazy Rants of Samantha Burns, Blue Star Chronicles, High Desert Wanderer, and Gone Hollywood, thanks to Linkfest Haven Deluxe.

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Colts win! Yeah!

Posted by Debbie | February 4, 2007 | 10:17 pm | Permalink

JJ, your Dallas mentality is kicking in again. The NYGiants not only made it to the playoffs, the made it one day past your Cowboys before being eliminated.

Posted by Fersboo | February 5, 2007 | 10:09 am | Permalink

I had forgotten that they were the other Wild Card, since the Giant’s late-season collapse was even worse than the Cowboys’. They were the 6th seed to the Cowboys 5th.

Posted by James Joyner | February 5, 2007 | 10:16 am | Permalink

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